Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.426078 0.463855 0.504852 0.552895 0.607967 0.669508 0.744020
2024-12-29 0.357412 0.411790 0.476105 0.559043 0.665081 0.798925 0.985481
2025-01-05 0.301665 0.361579 0.436943 0.541399 0.687121 0.891237 1.215483
2025-01-12 0.258602 0.318665 0.397609 0.513038 0.685339 0.948201 1.416844
2025-01-19 0.227430 0.286213 0.366135 0.488060 0.680468 0.996403 1.622706
2025-01-26 0.212996 0.274054 0.360123 0.497669 0.728860 1.143101 2.083074
2025-02-02 0.205988 0.271045 0.366211 0.525940 0.813624 1.383827 2.918507
2025-02-09 0.194127 0.259534 0.357790 0.528772 0.853385 1.551111 3.733788
2025-02-16 0.180820 0.244530 0.342105 0.516502 0.861132 1.651002 4.462470
2025-02-23 0.171559 0.234810 0.333680 0.515540 0.891103 1.817432 5.688232
2025-03-02 0.161686 0.223320 0.321176 0.505217 0.898780 1.929915 6.905835
2025-03-09 0.154297 0.215165 0.313410 0.502644 0.923069 2.102760 8.913692
2025-03-16 0.145815 0.205059 0.302089 0.493027 0.932356 2.248217 11.431978
2025-03-23 0.141429 0.201378 0.301715 0.505643 1.000978 2.650344 19.142869
2025-03-30 0.133719 0.191720 0.289979 0.493381 1.003245 2.814338 26.345589
2025-04-06 0.125109 0.180057 0.273769 0.469744 0.969796 2.813920 31.264944
2025-04-13 0.117514 0.169700 0.259238 0.448211 0.938249 2.809479 37.225545
2025-04-20 0.114571 0.167030 0.258567 0.456874 0.995741 3.280927 84.907300
2025-04-27 0.113815 0.168021 0.264751 0.481850 1.111616 4.238512 758.025521
2025-05-04 0.110444 0.164233 0.261483 0.484375 1.157279 4.863696 NaN
2025-05-11 0.105860 0.158055 0.253117 0.473595 1.154678 5.148463 NaN
2025-05-18 0.102662 0.154176 0.248998 0.472754 1.187897 5.808557 NaN
2025-05-25 0.098835 0.148981 0.241912 0.463662 1.188363 6.192759 NaN